select a pattern
Chart patterns, measured against nine years of Bitcoin
Every policy sees the identical trades. Only the exit changes.
Eleven exit rules across twelve patterns is over a hundred comparisons. At 95% confidence several will look excellent by pure chance — and the best-looking one is the most likely to be one of them. So every rule is scored twice: on 2017–2022, which it may be chosen from, and on 2023 onwards, which it may not. A rule that wins on the left and dies on the right did not find an edge. It found the past.
We tried thousands of combinations. With that many tries, something always looks brilliant by pure luck — that is how most "proven trading systems" are made. So we picked the winners using only 2017–2022, then looked at what those same choices did in 2023–2026, a period that had no say in picking them. The first column is a promise. The second is a result.
Pick a year, a stack, and your rungs. It walks every real candle from that day forward and shows which rungs actually fired, which never did, and what the account was worth at the end — against simply holding.
Pick when it starts, how much you have, and what the reserve does while it waits.
Funding is what you pay to hold a leveraged
position — a small fee every 8 hours on a perpetual. Around
8–10% a year is normal for Bitcoin. Put 0 to leave it
out.
The reserve is not collateral. Whatever it is doing — sitting
in cash or held as spot — it does not move your liquidation price.
The exchange liquidates the position on its own margin whatever else you
are holding. Use idle cash in the buys table only for money
genuinely sitting in the same margin account.
Each one remembers its dates, its capital and its rules, so two plans are never quietly comparing different things.
Every purchase, and what it does to your average entry and your liquidation price. Build one automatically or type your own.
| Entry price | Margin | Leverage | Bitcoin bought | BTC bought | Total BTC | Avg entry | Liquidation | Cushion | Paid in | Worth then |
|---|
Each row is one buy. Margin x leverage is how much Bitcoin you actually buy. The right-hand columns are computed after every row, in order, exactly as an exchange merges the buys into one position. The liquidation falls with each row because the average entry falls — a green ▼ means that buy pushed it down.
The same buys, walked through every real Bitcoin candle from the start date forward.